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MI aluminium stocks analysis: Mega inflow at Liverpool

Tuesday, Sep 04, 2007
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Friday's aluminium stocks movement in the LME system was dominated by the mass warranting of 13,100t of T-bar at Liverpool in the UK.

LME Aluminium Stocks
Previous In Out Total Open Cancelled Change
826,725 15,100 2,200 839,625 815,500 24,125 +12,900
 

Location In Out Cancellations
Trieste 0 125 0
Pusan 0 550 1,000
Gwangyang 0 0 300
Johor 0 0 175
Singapore 2,000 950 975
Liverpool 13,100 0 0
Baltimore 0 100 0
Detroit 0 300 0
New Orleans 0 100 0
St Louis 0 75 0
 

Together with continued inflow at Singapore—which received metal every day last week with cumulative inflow of 4,000t—Friday's surge in arrivals sent the headline figure to a fresh 2007 high.

Draw rates have recovered a bit over the last week or so, largely thanks to steadier cancellation activity. There were another 9,275t of fresh cancellations last week and the cancelled pipeline has rebuilt somewhat from its recent Aug 22 low of 17,125t.

That should underpin draw rates at Friday's level going forwards but it will make little difference in the event of a repeat of Friday's warranting rate.

We'll be taking a more detailed look at global stocks movements in tomorrow's MI.

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