* Shanghai copper down 1.5 pct,
LME eases 0.8 pct *
LME trade resumes after exchange outage ALERT3 * ShFE copper stocks up 7 pct, below f'cast, but fresh 2-yr
peak * Market on watch for U.S. housing data later
(Updates with Shanghai stocks, prices) By Nick Trevethan SINGAPORE, Aug 21 (Reuters) - Shanghai copper closed Friday
down 1.5 percent after rising more than 2 percent in the
previous session, pressured by weaker London futures following
a surprise rise in weekly U.S. jobless claims. Mixed economic data from the United States continued to
exercise investors' nerves. U.S. and European equities rose
after a rebound in Chinese markets, which continued on Friday,
but an unexpected rise in the number of U.S. workers filing new
claims for jobless benefits last week weighed. [ID:nN20510281] Factory activity in the U.S. mid-Atlantic region turned
positive in August as a jump in new orders broke a 10-month
streak of contraction, suggesting a potential economic recovery
led by manufacturing. [ID:nLK703610] Investors will be waiting for Eurozone purchasing manager
index data at 0758 GMT and U.S. existing home sales for July
expected at 1400 GMT for their cues. "It's hard to make sense of short-term moves from
fundamentals. You have to look at the data, in particular
personal data -- jobless numbers, retail spending -- that kind
of thing," said ANZ senior commodities analyst Mark Pervan. "Look at the mess that has unfolded over the past year or
so. It was led by the consumer, mainly the housing market.
That's where the pain is being felt, and that's where the
recovery will come from." London Metal Exchange copper for three-month delivery
MCU3 fell to $6,000 a tonne by 0751 GMT from Thursday's close
of $6,049. Zinc MZN3 fell $18 to $1,786, lead MPB3 lost $7
to $1,813 and nickel MNI3 fell $178 to $18,697. A problem at the
LME affecting all vendors that was
resolved just before 0600 GMT meant volumes were fairly slim. Benchmark third-month Shanghai copper SCFc3 dropped 710
yuan to 46,910 yuan. Weekly Shanghai copper stocks data, released after the
market shut on Friday, rose by 7.3 percent or 5,543 tonnes to
81,650 tonnes just below market expectations of a 6,000-10,000
tonne rise. Nevertheless Shanghai stocks stand at their highest
in two years. For graphics showing weekly global metals stocks, click:
here
here
here In the longer term, traders noted threats to supply were
starting to coalesce and although the market is paying scant
attention currently -- focus is firmly on demand -- those
worries could support prices later this year and into 2010. Workers at Chile's Spence copper mine have demanded a 5.5
percent wage hike from owner BHP Billiton, marking the start of
potentially tough collective contract negotiations, which
include Billiton's Escondida and Codelco's Norte division later
in the year. [ID:nN20538871] "Two years ago copper prices were up around $7,000 or
$8,000 and the market was tracking towards new highs. Supply
fears were a big factor supporting sentiment and to some extent
the unions had the mining companies over a barrel," a Sydney
dealer said. "It's a much different story today. We are at the bottom,
or at least heading towards the bottom of a very deep
recession, stocks are three times higher and no one gives a
hoot about supply right now." He said the conditions were ripe for bitter, drawn out
talks as the unions play for time and more solid signs of
economic recovery emerge to justify their wage demands. Aluminium MAL3 fell $18 to $1,888. Prices have fallen
around 5 percent so far this week, on track for their biggest
weekly decline since late May. Global daily average primary aluminium output excluding
China fell to 63,100 tonnes in July from 63,300 tonnes in June,
data from the International Aluminium Institute (IAI) showed on
Thursday. IAI-PROD and <0#STOCKS-IAI> But Chinese production rose to 1.088 million tonnes in July
from 1.029 million tonnes in June. [ID:nLK478087] "There is huge latent supply in aluminium in China and all
those producers are getting a false signal from prices," ANZ's
Pervan said. "These prices will ignite a huge supply response and it
will be smelters in Western world that will be the casualty."
Base metals prices at 0751 GMT
Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2008 Pct chg
09
LME Cu 6000.00 -49.00 -0.81 3060.00
96.08
SHFE Cu* 46910.00 -710.00 -1.49 23840.00
96.77
LME Alum 1888.00 -18.00 -0.94 1535.00
23.00
SHFE Alum* 14810.00 -155.00 -1.04 11540.00
28.34
COMEX Cu** 273.15 -0.65 -0.24 139.50
95.81
LME Zinc 1786.00 -18.00 -1.00 1208.00
47.85
SHFE Zinc 14840.00 -110.00 -0.74 10120.00
46.64
LME Nickel 18697.00 -178.00 -0.94 11700.00
59.80
LME Lead 1813.00 -7.00 -0.38 999.00
81.48
LME Tin 13800.00 0.00 +0.00 10700.00
28.97
LME/Shanghai arb^ 1043
Dollar/yuan 6.8309 6.8319
For a graphic showing the
LME Shanghai arbitrage, click:
here
** 1st contract month for
COMEX copper
* 3rd contact month for SHFE aluminium, copper and zinc
^
LME 3-m copper in yuan, including 17 pct VAT, minus SHFE
third month
(Editing by Clarence Fernandez and Muralikumar Anantharaman)